2022 US Open odds: Surprising PGA picks, golf predictions from proven simulation that nailed the Masters

The Country Club in Brookline, Mass. is one of the oldest golf clubs in the United States, having been established in 1882. From June 16-19, it will be on display as the host of the 2022 US Open. This will be the fourth time that the course has hosted a US Open and it has also hosted the 1999 Ryder Cup, six US Amateurs and three US Women’s Amateurs. But because it’s not a regular in the major championship rotation or on the PGA Tour, the iconic venue figures to be a unique challenge next month with a USGA setup that is expected to be harsh.

Players who competed in the 2013 US Amateur got a small taste of what it will be like and current PGA Tour pro Matthew Fitzpatrick won that event. He’s listed as a 35-1 long shot in the latest 2022 US Open odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Scottie Scheffler also competed in that tournament and he’s now the No. 1 player in the Official World Golf Ranking, as well as the 11-1 favorite in this year’s third major championship. Before making any 2022 US Open picks, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven golf model.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it’s up over $ 9,500 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model included Justin Thomas in his best bets to win the 2022 PGA Championship. That bet hit at +1600, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned almost $ 800. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scottie Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 US Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2022 US Open golf tournament is approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2022 US Open predictions

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the US Open 2022: Scheffler, the world No. 1 player and the tournament favorite, stumbles and barely cracks the top five. Scheffler has been on fire this season, producing four wins and seven top-10 finishes, highlighted by his victory at Augusta. But he’s cooled a bit the last few weeks.

He’s finished 15th or worse in his last three events and missed the cut at the PGA Championship. He also hasn’t found much success at the US Open, missing the cut twice in four tries. The model doesn’t like him at these premium odds, making him a golfer to fade in your 2022 US Open bets.

Another surprise: Viktor Hovland, a 20-1 long shot, makes a surprising run for the title. He has a better chance to win than his odds imply, making him a great 2022 US Open sleeper pick. The 24-year-old Norwegian turned professional after finishing as the low amateur (t-12th) at the 2019 US Open and in the three years since, he’s already spent about six months inside the top 10 of the Official World Golf Ranking.

Hovland has three PGA Tour wins, two European Tour wins and a win at the 2021 Hero World Challenge under his belt and major championship success feels like the next logical step for one of the world’s best ball strikers. He currently ranks third on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: on approach and that is always a critical element of succeeding on a US Open setup. Hovland has only missed the cut in one of his 10 career major championship starts, and that was when he was forced to withdraw from the 2021 US Open because of an eye injury.

How to make 2022 US Open picks

The model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 18-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

So who will win the US Open 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2022 US Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 US Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed eight golf majors, including this year’s Masters.

2022 US Open odds, field

Scottie Scheffler 11-1
Jon Rahm 12-1
Rory McIlroy 14-1
Justin Thomas 14-1
Collin Morikawa 14-1
Dustin Johnson 16-1
Cameron Smith 18-1
Xander Schauffele 18-1
Brooks Koepka 18-1
Patrick Cantlay 20-1
Viktor Hovland 20-1
Jordan Spieth 22-1
Shane Lowry 25-1
Will Zalatoris 28-1
Bryson DeChambeau 28-1
Hideki Matsuyama 30-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 35-1
Daniel Berger 35-1
Tony Finau 35-1
Joaquin Niemann 40-1
Paul Casey 40-1
Louis Oosthuizen 40-1
Tyrrell Hatton 40-1
Sam Burns 40-1
Webb Simpson 40-1
Tiger Woods 50-1
Tommy Fleetwood 50-1
Corey Conners 50-1
Justin Rose 50-1
Abraham Ancer 60-1
Harris English 60-1
Gary Woodland 65-1
Matthew Wolff 65-1
Marc Leishman 65-1
Patrick Reed 65-1
Jason Kokrak 65-1
Sungjae Im 65-1
Garrick Higgo 65-1
Jason Day 70-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 80-1
Phil Mickelson 80-1
Billy Horschel 80-1
Adam Scott 80-1
Max Homa 80-1
Sergio Garcia 80-1
Brian Harman 100-1
Russell Henley 100-1
Charley Hoffman 100-1
Lee Westwood 100-1
Branden Grace 100-1
Guido Migliozzi 125-1
Si-Woo Kim 125-1
Francesco Molinari 125-1
Bubba Watson 125-1
Thomas Pieters 125-1
Matt Wallace 125-1
Cameron Champ 125-1
Stewart Cink 150-1
Martin Kaymer 150-1
Ryan Palmer 150-1
Robert Macintyre 150-1
Carlos Ortiz 150-1
Kevin Kisner 150-1
Ian Poulter 150-1
Matt Kuchar 150-1
Kevin Streelman 150-1
Hudson Swafford 200-1

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