Justin Thomas, 2 More Should Thrive at St. George’s

Click arrow to expand 2022 RBC Canadian Open odds via DraftKings

2022 RBC Canadian Open Odds

Golfer Odds
Scottie Scheffler +700
Justin Thomas +700
Rory McIlroy +800
Cameron Smith +1000
Shane Lowry +1600
Matthew Fitzpatrick +1600
Sam Burns +1800
Tyrrell Hatton +2000
Corey Conners +2200
Harold Varner III +2200
Tony Finau +3000
Adam Hadwin +4500
Sebastian Munoz +4500
Keith Mitchell +5000
Chris Kirk +5000
Sahith Theegala +6500
Luke List +6500
Patrick Reed +6500
Jhonattan Vegas +7000
Mackenzie Hughes +8000
Justin Rose +8000
CT Pan +8000
JJ Spaun +8000
Brendon Todd +10000
Rasmus Hojgaard +10000
Pat Perez +10000
Cameron Champ +13000
Nick Taylor +13000
Dylan Frittelli +13000
David Lipsky +13000
Mark Hubbard +14000
Adam Long +14000
Aaron Rai +14000
Taylor Pendrith +14000
Alex Smalley +15000
Emiliano Grillo +15000
Austin Smotherman +15000
Matthias Schwab +15000
Tyler Duncan +18000
Stephan Jaeger +18000
Rory Sabbatini +18000
John Huh +18000
Doug Ghim +18000
Wyndham Clark +20000
JT Poston +20000
Greyson Sigg +20000
Peter Malnati +20000
Patrick Rodgers +20000
Nate Lashley +20000
Adam Svensson +25000
Adam Schenk +25000
Kevin Chappell +25000
Chase Seiffert +25000
Carlos Ortiz +25000
Vince Whaley +25000
Charley Hoffman +25000
Justin Lower +25000
Sean O’Hair +25000
Cameron Percy +25000
Harry Higgs +25000
Scott Piercy +25000
Callum Tarren +25000
Satoshi Kodaira +25000
Jonathan Byrd +25000
Brice Garnett +25000
Sam Ryder +25000
Robert Streb +25000
Ryan Armor +25000
Brian Stuard +25000
Hank Lebioda +25000
Brandon Wu +25000
Nick Hardy +25000
Martin Laird +25000
Dean Burmester +25000
Ben Kohles +25000
Danny Willett +25000
Luke Donald +25000
Lee Hodges +25000
Andrew Novak +25000
Joseph Bramlett +30000
Vaughn Taylor +30000
Tommy Gainey +30000
Aaron Cockerill +30000
Henrik Norlander +30000
Trey Mullinax +30000
Kelly Kraft +30000
Scott Brown +30000
Scott Gutschewski +30000
Rafa Cabrera Bello +30000
Robert Garrigus +30000
Brandt Snedeker +30000
Kramer Hickok +30000
Dylan Wu +30000
Danny Lee +30000
Jared Wolfe +40000
Wesley Bryan +40000
Hayden Buckley +40000
Yi Cao +40000
Sung Kang +40000
AJ Ewart +40000
Jared du Toit +40000
Max Sekulic +40000
Sangmoon Bae +40000
Ryan Moore +40000
Roger Sloan +40000
Bill Haas +40000
Michael Gligic +40000
Bo Hoag +40000
Myles Creighton +40000
David Skinns +40000
Matt Wallace +40000
David Lingmerth +40000
Jim Herman +40000
Martin Trainer +40000
Albin Choi +40000
Curtis Thompson +40000
Wes Heffernan +50000
Camilo Villegas +50000
Trevor Werbylo +50000
William Buhl +50000
Stuart Macdonald +50000
Joseph Deraney +50000
Seth Reeves +50000
Jason Dufner +50000
Seung-Yul Noh +50000
Callum Davison +50000
Brett Drewitt +50000
Jonas Blixt +50000
Ricky Barnes +50000
Brendan Leonard +50000
Johnson Wagner +50000
Fabian Gomez +50000
Nick Watney +50000
Bo Van Pelt +50000
Greg Chalmers +50000
Max McGreevy +50000
Mike Weir +50000
Dawie van der Walt +50000
Max Hensby +50000
Jim Knous +50000
Austin Cook +50000
David Hearn +50000
Joshua Creel +50000
Ben Crane +50000
Ben Martin +50000
DJ Trahan +50000
DA Points +50000

Billy Horschel pulled away from the field at the Memorial over the weekend as he took a five-shot lead into Sunday and, despite some stumbles, comfortably closed out Jack’s Tournament for his seventh career win.

Horschel captured his first win of the season and is now well positioned for the FedEx Cup and, more importantly on his radar, the 2022 President’s Cup. We’ll see Horschel again in two weeks at the US Open after this week’s RBC Canadian Open.

The tournament returns north of the border for the first time since the pandemic in 2020 and to St. George’s Golf and Country Club for the first TOUR event has hosted since 2010. It will be set up as a par-70, with a unique setup that features five par 3s and three par 5s. The scorecard is set to play just over 7,000 yards as a treelined test for what is a very strong field looking for one final tune-up heading into the third major of the season next week.

I won’t try to play the motivation game or speculate on who is just playing to go through the motions in preparation for the US Open, so everyone is on the table for me this week. I do see some players trending in the right direction and one in particular will be a fan favorite in his home country.

Best Buys

Justin Thomas

Justin Thomas was the first player who came to mind as I was reading through the data and formulating a skillset necessary to win at this course.

This is a track that is likely to take the driver out of the player’s hands on many of the shorter holes as positioning in the fairways will be key. It will also require some elite iron play – especially from 200 yards or more, where four of the five par 3s are likely to set up. All of that is a fit for the most recent major winner as his weakness can often be off the tee where his driver gets him in trouble.

Thomas’ strength is undoubtedly his elite iron play. I’ll be interested to see where the odds fall on Monday morning as there will be no discount on Thomas because of his missed cut at the Charles Schwab. However, there is reason to think we may get a decent number with players like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy also at the top of the board.

Corey Conners

The Canadian faithful will be out in full force to cheer the return of PGA play to their country this week, and they’ll certainly give a little extra juice to Corey Conners and their other hometown players.

The timing may also be just right for Conners, who’s coming off of a week at the Memorial that saw him lead the field with over 8.00 SG: Approach. He was back to his elite, ball-striking self for three of the four days and posted a solid T13 finish.

Conners is similar to Thomas in that his ball striking is what carries his game most weeks and his long iron game certainly matches up with some of the best players in the world.

My hope is that we can get an opening number that is viable for a bet, not dissimilar to the +4500 he opened at for the Memorial. Anything in that range could be worth a look for a guy coming into form and with the positive vibes of being back in his home country.

Cameron Champ

This is not a name I expected to show up so much in my early research.

We generally think of Cameron Champ in spots where he can use his driver as much as possible to overwhelm the field. It may make some sense though this week because we have the rare three par 5s on a par-70 course.

With all of the distance lost in the five par 3s, there will still be plenty of longer holes. Champ is one of the best players in this field both on par 3s over 200 yards, as well as with his general approach game from that 200 yards and more distance.

We are talking now about seven of the holes being right in his wheelhouse and even coming off of a missed cut at Memorial, there are some underlying signs of better play. If I can get triple-digit odds on him on Monday, he will be one of my first longshot clicks this week.

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