Recession is challenging inflation as top fear among stock and bond investors

Recession is challenging inflation as top fear among stock and bond investors

It’s easy to want to duck for cover given the carnage seen this year in stocks and bonds, particularly with the Federal Reserve vowing to wage an unconditional battle against high inflation. While inflation running at a 40-year high still sits near the top of the list of worries for many investors, another potential bugaboo … Read more

US stock futures drop as Powell testimony looms, recession worries return to the spotlight

US stock futures drop as Powell testimony looms, recession worries return to the spotlight

Recession worries were back in the spotlight for Wall Street on Wednesday, with equity futures and oil prices dropping, as investors looked ahead to Congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. How are stock-index futures trading? S&P 500 ES00 futures, -1.67% dropped 1.4%, to 3,715 Dow Jones Industrial Average futures YM00, -1.51% dropped 382 … Read more

Elon Musk joins the growing chorus fearing a US recession. But there are stocks for that.

Elon Musk joins the growing chorus fearing a US recession.  But there are stocks for that.

Look out above, the dip buyers are back in town. Stocks are soaring – for now – as Wall Street returns from a long holiday weekend, with Fed Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifying in front of Congress this week. The buying mood comes after the S&P 500’s worst week since March 2020, including its fall … Read more

US inflation expected to keep running hot: Traders see 4 straight months of roughly 9% or higher CPI readings

US inflation expected to keep running hot: Traders see 4 straight months of roughly 9% or higher CPI readings

Just a day after Federal Reserve policy makers delivered their biggest rate hike in 28 years, the US inflation outlook continues to look dire in one obscure part of the financial market. Traders of so-called fixings, or derivatives-like instruments related to Treasury inflation-protected securities, expect four straight months of annual headline consumer-price index readings at … Read more

Why stocks and bonds went into relief-rally mode after Fed’s jumbo rate hike

Why stocks and bonds went into relief-rally mode after Fed’s jumbo rate hike

Financial markets suffered an absolute bloodbath in the days leading up to Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision, with stocks plunging and bond yields soaring in the wake of surprisingly hot inflation data – a sign that investors feared a more Volcker-esque reaction from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and the rest of the Federal Open Market … Read more

In `fragile ‘financial markets ahead of Fed’s decision, some traders and strategists see risk of instant recession

In `fragile ‘financial markets ahead of Fed’s decision, some traders and strategists see risk of instant recession

Financial markets are on precarious footing since last Friday’s surprise reading on accelerating US inflation for May – with Treasurys, stocks, credit and currencies all exhibiting friction or tension ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision on Wednesday. According to strategist Ben Emons and trader Tom di Galoma, the process of transmitting monetary policy through … Read more

Tightening of financial conditions accelerates, recession fears grow as May CPI report becomes multi-day trading event

Tightening of financial conditions accelerates, recession fears grow as May CPI report becomes multi-day trading event

Financial markets convulsed on Monday as investors considered the prospects of US inflation accelerating, not decelerating, after the release of May’s consumer-price index report. Signs of the sentiment shift since Friday’s data release were evident in the fast-paced tightening of financial conditions, plus an outlook for more aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes. Gains in the … Read more

Dow tumbles as inflation reading triggers market shock waves: What investors need to know

Dow tumbles as inflation reading triggers market shock waves: What investors need to know

From Wall Street to Main Street, fears that the US economy could be sliding into 1970s-style “stagflation” have been percolating. References to the sticky situation appeared in news headlines all week. The Associated Press called it “the dreaded ‘S’ word.” The Wall Street Journal reminded readers of the neologism’s origins as a catchy way to … Read more

Investors may be in for this rude surprise: History shows inflation can take years to return to normal even when Fed hikes above 10%

Investors may be in for this rude surprise: History shows inflation can take years to return to normal even when Fed hikes above 10%

History can be a powerful tool, particularly in a high-inflation environment like this one in which no suitable economic model seems to apply. Inflation – running at 8.3% as of April, near a four-decade high – has stayed stubbornly persistent for a full year to the surprise of virtually everyone who tracks it. Now there’s … Read more

Why a top Wall Street quant sees S&P 500 taking back all its losses by yearend

Why a top Wall Street quant sees S&P 500 taking back all its losses by yearend

JP Morgan’s Marko Kolanovic, one of the most closely followed quantitative analysts on Wall Street, augured in a note to clients on Wednesday that US stocks could see a torrid rebound during the latter half of 2022. While Kolanovic’s boss (JPM CEO Jamie Dimon) helped spook markets on Wednesday with his talk of an economic … Read more