Are Nasdaq stocks in a bull market? A history of head fakes says slow your roll

Are Nasdaq stocks in a bull market?  A history of head fakes says slow your roll

Before passing out cigars in celebration of the birth of a baby bull market for the Nasdaq Composite, investors might want to take a look back at history. Sure, the tech-heavy gauge ended Wednesday up 20.8% from its 2022 closing low of 10,646.10 set on June 16. A rise of 20% from a recent low … Read more

The red flag that preceded a halving of global equities in 2000 and 2007 is back, warns Citi

The red flag that preceded a halving of global equities in 2000 and 2007 is back, warns Citi

We are a day away from data that could prove a turning point for markets. If Wednesday’s CPI doesn’t reveal some slowing in prices, expectations will rise for a bigger Fed rate hike in September, possibly knocking stocks. But if it swings the other way, especially after surprisingly good jobs data, the view that things … Read more

Opinion: The S&P 500 is so close to crossing this crucial level and challenging the bear market’s trend line

Opinion: The S&P 500 is so close to crossing this crucial level and challenging the bear market’s trend line

The S&P 500 index may be about to secure two major bullish SPX, -0.01% milestones. First, the S&P has rallied from that mid-June low right up to the major resistance at 4170. A two-day close above that level would be quite bullish and would set the stage for a challenge of the downtrend line defining … Read more

JP Morgan quant who called summer rebound in stocks says rally could continue even if corporate profits decline

JP Morgan quant who called summer rebound in stocks says rally could continue even if corporate profits decline

Investors worried about the next pullback for stocks might want to pause and consider this: the decline in equity valuations since the start of the year has already exceeded the average pullback of other recessionary periods since the early 1990s, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’ s equity quant Marko Kolanovic. While more Wall Street … Read more

Will the stock-market rally turn into a selloff? This bond-market gauge could tip investors off

Will the stock-market rally turn into a selloff?  This bond-market gauge could tip investors off

Now that the Federal Reserve appears to have abandoned its forward guidance tool in favor of being “data dependent” to help inform its future path for rates, investors should keep an eye on this gauge of inflation expectations for signs of a shift in the market’s mood . Watch the five-year break-even inflation rate, one … Read more

As Twitter rethinks its San Francisco footprint, a bigger $9 billion question hangs over the city’s office market

As Twitter rethinks its San Francisco footprint, a bigger  billion question hangs over the city’s office market

Twitter Inc. put its large San Francisco office footprint on review for downsizing on Wednesday, and has nixed the opening of an office in Oakland, Calif., a person with direct knowledge of the matter said. The move clouds the future of the social-media site’s stylish San Francisco headquarters, a 1.1 million-square-foot trophy office complex at … Read more

Big Tech earnings are about to determine the direction of the market

Big Tech earnings are about to determine the direction of the market

Just five companies control nearly a quarter of the S&P 500 index’s market cap, and they will all report earnings this week that could determine the direction of the market for weeks or months to come. Amazon ripped off the Band-Aid three months ago, and it looks like some of its Big Tech cohorts may … Read more

Weekend reads: Prepare for a big week — a crucial Federal Reserve decision, tech-company earnings and a GDP report

Weekend reads: Prepare for a big week — a crucial Federal Reserve decision, tech-company earnings and a GDP report

It was mostly a week for stocks, particularly a rebound in the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index, as companies topped expectations on second-quarter earnings. The coming week brings a heavy dose of tech-company earnings, the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, and the first reading on second-quarter GDP on Thursday. Fed officials are expected to … Read more

Will the Federal Reserve kill the stock-market bounce?

Will the Federal Reserve kill the stock-market bounce?

A summer rebound is stirring hopes the bear market in US stocks has seen its lows, but a meeting of Federal Reserve policy makers this coming week might test the nerves of would-be bulls. “I expect we will continue to see market volatility until investors have seen more convincing evidence that this period of Fed … Read more

Investors are obsessed with the size of the Fed’s next rate hike. Here’s what they’re missing.

Will the Federal Reserve kill the stock-market bounce?

Debate has been simmering over whether Federal Reserve policy makers will raise the fed-funds rate by three-quarters of a percentage point later this month, as they did in June, or step up their inflation-fighting campaign with a full point hike —- something that hasn’t been seen in the past 40 years. Friday’s economic data, which … Read more